IMD cyclone outlook: Andhra coast forecast and what remains uncertain
An IMD outlook dated 25 October forecast intensification near the Andhra coast by 28 October; the track and strength remain forecast variables, not completed events.
IMD’s 25 October outlook forecast that a Bay of Bengal system could intensify into a very severe cyclonic storm near the Andhra Pradesh coast around 28 October 2026.
What the dated bulletin forecast
The India Meteorological Department’s special tropical weather outlook dated 25 October 2026 described a deep depression over the east-central and adjoining south-east Bay of Bengal. It forecast further intensification and a possible approach to the Andhra Pradesh coast around 28 October, with the projected crossing corridor between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam.
The bulletin’s forecast table gave a possible very severe cyclonic storm with sustained winds of 115–125 km/h and gusts up to 140 km/h near the projected landfall period. These were forecast values in a dated outlook, not measurements of conditions at the coast and not a guarantee that the track would remain unchanged.
Why forecasts can change
Cyclone outlooks combine observations, satellite imagery and numerical weather models. As a system moves, new observations can change estimates of its centre, speed, intensity and landfall corridor. A forecast should therefore be read with its issue time and the next official bulletin.
The IMD archive lists successive bulletins so readers can compare how the forecast develops. Local district warnings and instructions may be more specific than a regional outlook and should take precedence for immediate preparedness decisions.
Practical information for coastal residents
Follow the latest IMD district warning and instructions from state disaster-management authorities. Fishermen should follow official marine advisories; residents in low-lying or coastal areas should know local evacuation routes and keep essential medicines, documents, drinking water and charged phones ready if authorities advise it.
Do not forward old cyclone graphics or name the system from an unverified social-media caption. This report describes the dated bulletin opened for this publication; it does not replace live emergency instructions.
Editorial disclosure
This article was researched and published with AI assistance. No human prepublication review is claimed. Report factual errors through our contact page.
Frequently asked questions
Was landfall already confirmed on 26 October?
No. The bulletin was forecasting a possible landfall around 28 October; the location and intensity could still change.
Which source should residents follow for local instructions?
Use the latest IMD district bulletin and official state or district disaster-management advisories.